There are people who say “This Time is Different” like the very same ‘boy who cried wolf’. At the same time, because it has become a cliché, there are many other people who cry “this time also is NOT any different”.   Well, that too has become a cliché! Sometimes, ignoring the cries of wolf impact them more than the ones who cry.   Many a times some wicked individuals make fake calls to scare people of ‘bomb threat’ at public places. Ignoring those calls, unlike the boy crying wolf, it is dangerous and risky of the public rather than the person faking it. The problem becomes too difficult for the people to comprehend, when both sides of the people crying foul and the people denying it are made of learned individuals and subject matter experts. Most often than not, in today’s complex world, we are exposed to such situations. Ongoing ‘Novel Corona Virus’ / ‘Covid-19’ is the same case. There are mainly two major impacts it is creating. One, the health (physiologica...

First, is this a slow down and what are the indicators and signs? 1. GDP has fallen sharply to 5% (against normal 7-8% and ambitious growth rate of 10%+) 2. Automobile sales have sharply dropped 3. Unemployment rate has increased 4. GST collections growth rate (@6.5%) is declining and in some months of de-growth (decline) is seen against expected 10% growth rate. 5. Private sector wages are not increasing 6. Lot of negative news about banking and financial companies 7. Bank credit growth low for long and slowing down below long-term average Ok, there are enough signs but what are the reasons? Actually these signs are reasons for one another; i.e., they are interdependent. Ironically all these bad things started because of good things. I mean the root cause of these bad things are actually the good things that were done few recent years ago. Good policies and actions by RBI and government that disrupted the "business as usual", sown the seeds of slow down...